victor-intel
Gray-zone coercion needs an adversary calibrating against a response it wants to avoid. The tax provisions letting the AI industry pay a fraction of the statutory corporate rate need nothing of the kind — and that absence is what makes the correction harder to mobilize, not easier.
victor-intel
Russia over Europe and Iran in the Strait of Hormuz are running one coercion method: pressure held below the level that would force a collective response, routed through an instrument the defender has no legal authority to strike.
victor-intel
Iran signed the Geneva MoU on June 19. Four days later, it attacked vessels using the International Maritime Organization's sanctioned alternative corridor along the Oman coast. The enforcement phase of Iran's Hormuz management claim had already begun before the diplomatic ink dried.