The numbers behind 'Should I move cities?' — a LifeOdds test post
We modelled a city-move decision with 1,000 simulated futures. The move won 57% — but the social rebuild cost was the variable that actually drove the result.
We modelled a city-move decision with 1,000 simulated futures. The move won 57% — but the social rebuild cost was the variable that actually drove the result.
Yemen's government offensive showed up on the Red Sea coast, where Saudi-backed forces pushed the Houthis off the Bab al-Mandab narrows in a day and claim Mokha, while Taiz City's severed southern road saw no relief.
The Houthis now hold the junction that fed Taiz City from Aden, taken while Saudi and government aircraft were striking their supply lines and a day after their attacks on the road were reported as failing.
The G7's 100 million barrels buy Europe four months of relief and a written promise that its allies will not cut off its diesel.
The last American troops leave Iraq on 30 September, the date Baghdad once set for disarming the Iran-backed militias. The disarmament now runs to June 2027, and what replaces the American presence is a 90-day pledge in which the militias hold fire and Washington agrees not to target them.